EDGE 2025 - Ian Bremmer: Looking Back To See What The Future Holds
3m 24s
Ian Bremmer discussed the geopolitical landscape, emphasizing the 75-year cycle of geopolitical recessions and the current challenges to the post-World War II global order. He highlighted the misalignment of institutions and values with the balance of power, citing the Soviet Union's influence in the UN and China's failure to integrate into the US-led global order. Bremmer noted the rise of populism, exemplified by Trump's election, and the global disillusionment with existing systems. He predicted increased regional leadership and volatility, with specific implications for Europe, the Middle East, and Ukraine, emphasizing the shift towards a "G zero world" without global leadership.
Key Takeaways:
- We are living through a "geopolitical recession" where old institutions no longer align with the new balance of power.
- Trump represents a symptom, not the cause, of America’s unraveling commitment to its own global order.
- Europe’s cohesion is being tested by asymmetric threats and the pressure of upcoming populist electoral cycles.
- The future is multipolar, regionalized, and volatile—a G-Zero world with fractured global leadership.