Panel 10 - Shaping the Future: UK EU Role - Sir Simon Fraser, Marco Vicenzino
Navigating Geo-Uncertainty
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5m 24s
How can Europe stay relevant when Washington looks inward and Beijing rewrites the rule-book? Former UK Foreign-Office chief Sir Simon Fraser joins geopolitical strategist Marco Vicenzino and moderator Livia Paggi to map a survival strategy for Britain and the Continent: spend more on defence, court Delhi and Tokyo, but never forget that trade and rule-of-law values are part of the same armour.
Key Takeaways:
- Post-Modern Era Ends — Europe must adapt to a great-power world it finds uncomfortable, with fewer multilateral safety-nets.
- Consensus-Speed Trade-off — The EU’s slow, consensual governance struggles against fast-moving crises, demanding new decision pathways.
- Transatlantic Balancing Act — The UK tries to square deeper EU cooperation with a temperamental but vital U.S. security umbrella.
- Pragmatic Rights Agenda — Values still matter, but imposing blueprints backfires; diplomacy needs realism alongside principles.
- Defence-Spending Imperative — Higher military budgets are cheaper than the cost of losing a war; public opinion must be persuaded.
- No Total China Split — Supply chains will re-route, not sever; smart firms diversify while keeping eyes wide open on risk.
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